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Risky Hands
Risky hands are the cards you shouldn't play - but do because they appear exciting, interesting or possibly very profitable - or they're cards which have huge potential, to either win you a lot of money or clean you out. Below is a list of some of the most misplayed hands in Holdem, and some of the ways in which people commonly go wrong. Bear in mind that poker is a game of situations, people and position: a hand that's easy to play (or fold) in one situation could present a different problem in another. Winning at poker is therefore all about making good (or great) decisions. To do this, a poker player needs to be an expert in laying and taking odds, or knowing when to refuse a bet, in complex situations. They can do this with some margin for error and accept some risks, but overall each decision gives them a small edge which over time adds up to serious financial gain. If you're playing a No Limit Texas Holdem tournament and you're dealt 8c3h in first position, you don't have much of a decision - you pass it quickly. But that's not profitable. Profitable decisions come in situations where you play a hand better that almost everyone else, whether you pass, call or raise with it. In our hypothetical tournament, it would be equally obvious what to do with AA or AK if you only had a small number of chips left - you would stick them all-in and hope to win the hand and survive. But what about finding a danger hand in that situation if instead you have lots of chips left - for example A9 OS, 78 S, QJ OS or even JJ? Now, your decision is a lot tougher. Each of these hands has a generally optimum way of being played in first position (fold, call, fold, raise) which will make you some profit in the long term, and you will need to have a good idea of what this is. But it also depends on exactly where you are in a specific game - is it the re-buy period, is someone on tilt, are many players likely to call? Whether you see the opportunity to be a little creative by doing something slightly different comes into play, too, as does finding what Howard Lederer calls: 'A profitable way to stray from what would generally be considered the proper play.' The reason for doing this is that if you always play a hand in the same way, people will recognise it, and your game will become transparent. Therefore, raising with the suited connectors or check raising with the Jacks might be more profitable occasionally. But just bear in mind that by doing this, you increase the risk of serious harm if your plan backfires, and that danger hands before the flop can become nightmares after it when played like this. If such a situation develops when you slow play a monster or push a marginal hand too far, you should simply remember that the first mistake is often the easiest to walk away from, and that such cards are called danger hands for a reasons
In contrast, the bets in No Limit or Pot Limit games are smallest at the start and escalate rapidly from there. So other players are often getting the 'implied odds' they need to call pre-flop and try to make a better hand or draw before setting about taking your money. For this reason, Aces need to be played strong early to deny others the implied odds and to leave you with a good idea of what any callers might have made on the flop. So if you raise with a good portion of your chips and the flop comes Kh5d2h after which you and your one opponent go to war, you can be fairly confident of being ahead. If you just called - looking for a checkraising opportunity that didn't come - and several players get involved, you could be facing any number of hands that are now ahead or could be by the river.
If you raise with them and are called, the chances are that the flop will contain one or more overcards. And even if it doesn't, there is always the danger of then losing a fortune to Aces, Kings or Queens. If someone re-raises you, it's likely that they hold either a bigger pair or overcards, such as AK or AQ, so you are either a small favourite or a big dog. In poker, this is a situation you are constantly trying to avoid, so Jacks more than any pair are like chameleons. For example, if you know someone often plays small pairs or weak Aces, they can be a great hand to come over the top with. However, if there has already been a raise and a re-raise to you, in most games you would sooner light a fire with them than get involved.
All small pairs are best avoided late in tournaments unless you are in late position and face many callers or only a very small raise. They are playable early in big-bet tournaments or cash games where the money is deep. But once you get to the flop, you should follow the advice of Tom McEvoy and TJ Cloutier: 'No set, no bet.'
In short, then, it's one of the main danger hands in Holdem and unless you're an expert, you play it at your peril. Remember, a hand with a hole in it is frequently worse than no hand at all (with no hand you lose no money). Playing the weak Ace after the flop can often feel like the equivalent of walking around with one leg broken. Depending on the level of game you play in - and your opponents' care of choice over kickers - it will need to be calibrated differently though. For example, against loose, weak opponents who play any Ace, AT or AJ could easily be enough to ensure success, whereas a player such as Doyle Brunson describes even AQ as being a trouble hand in many situations.
They are moderate, defensive hands if you need to act in a hurry, and they are playable in late position or if suited. However, just don't fall for the impression that a nice paint job means you'll find sound engineering underneath.
This danger is most apparent either very early during big tournaments, or in deep cash games, otherwise the odds will be usually be in your favour - but when it happens it's nothing less than a complete disaster! Making the lower flush is a danger you will struggle to avoid when you're playing this type of hand. But, with straight draws, you need to remember what other hands you could be running into. For example, 89s looks great with a flop of TJQ, until someone turns up AK. Similarly, as soon as higher cards start competing your draw, they are also likely either to be making a better one for someone else or hitting them directly and making you a favourite to be bet out of the hand.
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